Lab 6

ROI Calculator

45 min 10 sections 1 prerequisite

What You'll Learn

  • Build a reusable ROI calculation framework
  • Practice quantifying AI value
  • Create presentation-ready business cases

Prerequisites

  • 4.1-ai-business-cases
Part 1 of 10

Lab Overview

Numbers talk. In this lab, you'll build a reusable framework for calculating and communicating the ROI of AI initiatives. This is the tool that gets projects funded.

What you'll create:

  • A complete ROI calculation methodology
  • A spreadsheet/template for repeated use
  • A presentation-ready business case

Part 2 of 10

Part 1: Choose Your Scenario (5 minutes)

Select an AI initiative to analyze:

Option A: Customer Service Automation AI handles Tier 1 support tickets, reducing agent workload.

Option B: Content Generation Pipeline AI accelerates content creation for marketing team.

Option C: Document Processing Automation AI extracts data from invoices/contracts, replacing manual entry.

Option D: Sales Email Personalization AI personalizes outreach emails based on prospect data.

Option E: Your Project An AI initiative you're actually considering.


Part 3 of 10

Part 2: Document Current State (10 minutes)

Quantify the Baseline

CURRENT STATE ANALYSIS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Process: [Name of process]
Owner: [Who's responsible]
Frequency: [How often does this happen?]

VOLUME METRICS:
• Units processed per month: ____
• Time per unit: ____ minutes
• Error rate: ____%

LABOR METRICS:
• FTEs involved: ____
• Average hourly cost (fully loaded): $____
• Total monthly labor hours: ____
• Total monthly labor cost: $____

QUALITY/SPEED METRICS:
• Current cycle time: ____
• Current quality score: ____
• Customer satisfaction: ____

PAIN POINTS (with cost impact):
1. [Pain point]: $____ monthly impact
2. [Pain point]: $____ monthly impact
3. [Pain point]: $____ monthly impact
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

Show Your Work

For each metric, document your source:

Metric Value Source Confidence
Units/month High/Med/Low
Time/unit High/Med/Low
Hourly cost High/Med/Low
...

Part 4 of 10

Part 3: Project Future State (10 minutes)

Define the AI Solution

PROPOSED AI SOLUTION
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Solution description:
[What AI will do]

Integration approach:
[How it connects to existing systems]

Human oversight model:
[Where humans remain in the loop]

Expected impact by metric:
• Volume capacity: ___% increase
• Time per unit: ___% decrease
• Error rate: ___% decrease
• Quality score: ___% increase
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

Estimate Improvements

Use a conservative, moderate, and optimistic range:

Metric Conservative Moderate Optimistic Assumption
Automation rate [Why]
Time savings [Why]
Error reduction [Why]
Capacity increase [Why]

Use moderate estimates for your primary business case.


Part 5 of 10

Part 4: Calculate Costs (10 minutes)

One-Time Costs

Cost Category Amount Notes
AI platform/licensing $____ [Details]
Integration development $____ [Details]
Data preparation $____ [Details]
Training/change management $____ [Details]
Contingency (15-25%) $____ [Details]
TOTAL ONE-TIME $____

Ongoing Costs

Cost Category Monthly Annual Notes
AI API/subscription $____ $____ [Details]
Maintenance/monitoring $____ $____ [Details]
Support/training $____ $____ [Details]
TOTAL ONGOING $____ $____

Total Cost of Ownership (3-Year)

Year 1: One-time ($____) + Ongoing ($____) = $____
Year 2: Ongoing ($____) = $____
Year 3: Ongoing ($____) = $____
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
3-Year TCO: $____

Part 6 of 10

Part 5: Calculate Value (10 minutes)

Quantified Benefits

Direct Cost Savings:

Benefit Calculation Annual Value
Labor hours saved [hours] × [rate] $____
Error reduction [errors avoided] × [cost/error] $____
[Other direct] [calculation] $____
Total Direct $____

Revenue/Capacity Impact:

Benefit Calculation Annual Value
Increased capacity [units] × [margin] $____
Faster turnaround [value of speed] $____
Quality improvement [value of quality] $____
Total Revenue $____

Soft/Strategic Benefits (describe, don't quantify):

  • [Benefit 1: Why it matters]
  • [Benefit 2: Why it matters]
  • [Benefit 3: Why it matters]

Total Annual Value

Direct savings:     $____
Revenue impact:     $____
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
TOTAL ANNUAL VALUE: $____

Part 7 of 10

Part 6: Calculate ROI Metrics (5 minutes)

ROI Calculation

FIRST YEAR ROI
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
First-Year Value:            $____
First-Year Total Cost:       $____
First-Year Net Value:        $____
First-Year ROI: (Net/Cost) × 100 = ____%
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

THREE-YEAR ROI
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
3-Year Value:                $____
3-Year TCO:                  $____
3-Year Net Value:            $____
3-Year ROI: ____%
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

Payback Period

Monthly net benefit: $____ (Annual ÷ 12)
Total investment:    $____

Payback period: Investment ÷ Monthly benefit = ____ months

Sensitivity Analysis

What if your assumptions are wrong?

Scenario Change New ROI Still Viable?
Conservative -30% value ___% Yes/No
Delayed adoption +3 months to value ___% Yes/No
Cost overrun +25% cost ___% Yes/No
Lower automation -20% automation rate ___% Yes/No

Part 8 of 10

Part 7: Create Executive Summary (5 minutes)

One-Page Business Case

━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
[PROJECT NAME] - AI Investment Recommendation
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

THE OPPORTUNITY
[2-3 sentences on the business problem and proposed solution]

THE NUMBERS
                        Year 1    3-Year Total
Investment Required:    $____     $____
Value Generated:        $____     $____
Net Value:              $____     $____
ROI:                    ____%     ____%

Payback Period: ____ months

KEY BENEFITS
• [Quantified benefit 1]
• [Quantified benefit 2]
• [Strategic benefit]

RISK ASSESSMENT
Even with conservative estimates (-30% value), this initiative
delivers ___% ROI. Key risks include [risk 1] and [risk 2],
mitigated by [mitigation approach].

RECOMMENDATION
[Approve/Proceed with pilot/Further analysis needed]

Request: $____ investment with [timeline]

━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

Part 9 of 10

Deliverable

Create a complete business case package:

  1. ROI Calculator Spreadsheet

    • Current state inputs
    • Cost calculations
    • Benefit calculations
    • ROI formulas
    • Sensitivity analysis
  2. Documentation

    • Assumptions with sources
    • Methodology notes
    • Confidence levels
  3. Executive Summary

    • One-page business case
    • Key metrics highlighted
    • Clear recommendation
  4. Template

    • Clean version of calculator
    • Ready for future projects

Part 10 of 10

Extension Challenge

Present to a Skeptic

Using AI, role-play presenting this business case to:

  1. A skeptical CFO who wants to see conservative numbers
  2. A CIO who's worried about technical risk
  3. A business unit leader who fears job losses

Document the objections raised and how you'd address them.

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